Showing posts with label Jason Hart. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jason Hart. Show all posts

Tuesday, July 14, 2009

So . . . I was right about Ronnie Price

If you aren’t on twitter, then this is news: the Jazz are going to be bringing back Ronnie Price. (also confirmed by 1320 KFAN by txt message and via Twitter and the PR department of the Utah Jazz, via Twitter) Of course, this was a mere formality after Sloan was talking about Price in post draft interviews about Eric Maynor. But really, you didn’t need that either – you just needed to listen to me all along. So, last off-season the Jazz traded Hart for Knight, and by doing so, put themselves in a position where they would end up evaluating two guys for one spot all season long – with the final prize being a contract. I’m sure it must have been a crazy year for both Ronnie Price and Brevin Knight, playing against each other all season long fighting for playing time, both in the last year of expiring contracts.

Wednesday, October 15, 2008 (an excerpt)

Things to look for this season: Brevin Knight

Posted by Amar at 1:30 PM

“. . . More playing time at PG than Ronnie Price: That doesn't mean that Price isn't going to get playing time this season -- he may very well beat out Knight as the season goes on -- but over all Knight is going to get more playing time at the PG than Price will . . . ”

Thursday, October 16, 2008 (an excerpt)

Things to look for this season: Ronnie Price

Posted by Amar at 11:58 PM

“. . . If you haven't been following Ronnie Price's career, this is pretty much his own version of Sisyphus' challenge. His entire career he's had to make a living by beating other guys out for playing time. He did it two years ago in Sacramento (beating Jason Hart out). He did it last year in Utah (again beating Jason Hart out). And he's basically going to have to do it a 3rd year in a row, having to attempt to beat out Jason Hart the guy they traded Jason Hart for (Brevin Knight). Brevin also being in a contract year makes this even 'better', in terms of entertainment value. They are in direct competition with each other for this season -- and the next ones too! The only way to make things a little bit harder for Price would be if his coach decides 'just for fun' (in that exaggerated East Indian accent that Russell Peters has sometimes) to stop playing him at point guard -- and have him fight for playing time against 4 shooting guards (Brewer, Korver, Miles and Almond). Sounds dumb, right? Sounds even better from Jerry's own mouth [Interview, around the 1:54 to 4:13 mark, via 1320 KFAN]. For the record though, he does compliment Price as well during that answer, and suggests that his versatility allows him to play alongside Knight for a really small, quick line-up.

Basically, then, all Ronnie Price has to do is beat out Knight, and his future here in Utah will be secure, well it should be, right Mo Williams? Price has some advantages though, as he's been here last season, won the job, and played in every playoff game. Furthermore, he's a popular guy (in that younger crew with Millsap, Brewer and Miles) and the Jazz went 43-18 in games that he played in. That's winning 70.5 % of those games -- good enough for a 58 win season over 82 games. Here are three things to look out for this season from Ronnie Price:

 

  • Hustle every minute on the floor: Deron Williams plays so much point guard that there is very little time remaining for the other guys. There's going to be 8-12 minutes per game available by my estimation, and that's not nearly enough to play all three guys every game. What Price will do is hustle and play very hard in whatever time he has. Brevin Knight isn't going to jump up there and slam down alley-oops, or run back and block guys on fast breaks. Those are the types of plays that'll help get Price another contract with the Jazz -- especially if he plays within the offense and runs the team well.
  •  

  • Be available (and healthy) to play in 80+ games: Knight gets injured every year. He's never played over 80 games and whatever slim window of playing time exists has to be maximized by Price. Price needs to be available every game to go in and give Deron a breather. Especially in the cases where Knight is going to be injured and unavailable to play. It sounds simple, but it makes sense. One easy way to distinguish himself from his competition is be healthy. Coach is going to go with the guys on the roster who can play. Sometimes it doesn't have to be complicated. Knight averages 59 games played a season over his career. There is a window of opportunity for Price here, even if it's not wide open.
  •  

  • Eventually beat out Brevin Knight: I'm going to come out and say it -- there are going to be some situations all year where one of the two guys is going to get to play, and the other guy will sit. There will be situations where one guy is favored to play over the other (match-ups, etc). Also, there could be some times on the court where they both play at the same time. Out of all of those situations I think that the veteran leadership of Brevin Knight is going to be a stabilizing force for our team. I just can't bet against Ronnie Price. He's a smaller, scrappy guard who has three point range and has been in this situation before. Knight is smaller, scrappier, and much better than Jason Hart (the guy Price used to beat out each of those previous times), but I think Price has more fight in him. If Knight gets decked by Turiaf I see him on the floor for a while. Price got decked and was ready to fight. It's probably this fight that's going to win him the job sometime after the All-Star Break. . .”
  • The Price is right

    Price eventually did win out, it appears, but thanks to Brevin Knight for being there. He was instrumental in our team starting the seasons on a 5-0 run, but just did not get it going after that. It’s a shame really, because I think we all expected more out of him. Alas, he’ll be looking to play somewhere else next season.

    Kevin O’Connor (GM): “Keeping Ronnie on our roster was important to us. He is someone who knows our system and has proven capable of stepping in whenever called upon. Over the last two seasons he has shown a commitment to working hard and improving his game, and as a result, we expect his growth to continue.”

    Randy Rigby (Utah Jazz President): “Ronnie Price is the consummate professional. He is always prepared when Coach Sloan calls on him and we are looking forward to his energy and toughness next season.”

    “The Utah Jazz announced today that the team has re-signed guard Ronnie Price.  Per team policy, terms of the deal were not released.” (The Utah Jazz, July 14, 2009)

    If you don’t recall, Price did not get a chance to play massive minutes in the playoffs this season, which is in stark contrast to last season’s playoffs. But in the time that he did play, he played with energy, hustle, fire and without fear. That’s the type of player I want on the court when we’re on the wrong side of an elimination game. And that’s exactly the type of player the Jazz have in Price.

    Tuesday, November 4, 2008

    Game 3 Recap: Utah 89, LA Clippers 73

    Game at a Glance:

    The LA Clippers return home and return two star players to the active roster (Baron Davis and Marcus Camby) and hang tight for three quarters, only to allow Paul Millsap to outwork guys 4 inches taller than him and dominate the paint (he scored 15 points in a row for the Jazz in the 4th) while Carlos Boozer cheers from the bench. The Clippers went 9-20 from the free throw line while the Jazz made up for going 0-10 from three by going 25-31 from the line (despite Korver and Okur having 0-2 sequences from there early on). Jason Hart had a DNP-CD in Revenge Game #2.

    Jazz Quartet -- Top Four Players of the Game:

    Andrei Kirilenko Paul Millsap Mehmet Okur Carlos Boozer
    AK was active on offense Hard work is often rewarded Memo got it going in the 2nd half Carlos with the quick spin to get free for two
    Photographed by Andrew D. Bernstein for NBAE/Getty Images Photographed by Stephen Dunn for NBAE/Getty Images Photographed by Noah Graham NBAE/Getty Images Photographed by Stephen Dunn for NBAE/Getty Images
    He locked down both Thornton & Mobley in the 2nd half *and* got a double double (15 points, 11 boards, 2 assists and 4 steals). Scored 15 points and grabbed 5 board in a row in the 4th quarter to finish with 24 and 9. Added 2 assists, 2 steals and 1 block. He let Andrei get a lot of his rebounds, and still has yet to hit a three; but his outside shot is getting better and scored 16 points (5/10 fg, 9 fta) Boozer didn't dominate, and did not have to. In less than 30 mins he got 13 points (6/10) and had 8 boards.

    Digging Deeper:

    Two new guys but still another loss for LAC The Utah Jazz can finally say that they've beaten a team at full strength -- even if it was the first time Baron Davis and Marcus Camby actually played with each other. [I'm completely avoiding the easy dig at the Clippers and questioning how much of a 'team' they really are if all they do is isolate a wing and have him go one on one all night long.] Through the first three quarters this game was a pain to watch. The first quarter featured an overmatched C.J. Miles being absolutely torched by Al Thornton. The sophomore took it to the 4th year player and scored three times on Ceejay in the first 2 minutes of the game. I don't want to be a dick here, well, maybe I do a little, but Morris Almond can get scored on just as easily . . . for those keeping score at home, Almond has played a little over 4 minutes this season and is shooting 67 fg%, and scored 5 points. CJ has played 44 minutes and shooting 33 fg% and scored 10 points. CJ also has one steal, 4 assists and 7 rebounds more than Almond . . . but he's played 11 times more minutes . . . I think Almond could pick up a steal and 4 assists in 40 minutes of action with the starters.

    After Andrei came in the game Thornton only scored twice more the rest of the night. Mike Taylor got the start tonight for the Clippers while Jason Hart (who is having a hard time with the whole revenge game concept) got a DNP-CD. Baron Davis made an immediate impact in the game by hitting a three and pulling off one of those difficult DR.J flying out of bounds under the basket moves [see the move at 0:25 in this video if you don't know what I'm describing] that resulted in a nice pass to a cutting Camby. The Jazz starting guards were tepid in this game -- and made half of all their made field goals (2) in this quarter. The quarter ended 20-16 in favor of the home team.

    Kirilenko is really taking command of this 2nd unit (that features Knight, Korver, Andrei (usually at the 2 on defense), Millsap and tonight Okur), and he is using his quicks to post up smaller guys and execute his patented alley-oop post up 180 layups while being fouled. Speaking of quicks, Millsap was using his face up / floor game to make some crazy layups and shots. You may remember that I suggested that Paul should use his speed and quickness more on offense . . . and he did tonight!

    Utah's perimeter game hasn't been clicking (still looking for that first Money shot from Memo), and if the Jazz want to start beating good teams (instead of beating down on bad teams) then the offense needs to pick it up. What really saved us was our foul shooting (and the Clips bad luck there), you may also remember that we only beat the nuggets because of our foul shooting. So -- honestly -- we could be 1-2 right now if it wasn't for our luck at the stripe.

    It's easy to fall in love with our defensive stats, but we've played some really bad teams,so there is no big secret WHY we've held teams to 82 ppg. It's because we played the Clippers twice and Denver without 'Melo. If we can keep teams under 90 after our brutal Eastern trip later this month then I'll be happily surprised. Almost as surprised as I was to see Korver miss two free throws in a row like he did right after hitting three in a row early on in this game. Korver did manage to net 7 points, grab 5 boards and steal the ball 3 times . . . had he made a few of this threes he easily would have been part of the Jazz Quartet up there.

    Next Game: Wednesday November 5th, 2008 -- Portland @ Utah, 9:00 pm.

    Monday, November 3, 2008

    Jason Hart revenge game . . . #2

    Hart was capable of dribbling the ball forwards

    As I mentioned earlier, things did not go so well for Jason Hart and the LA Clippers last game . . . more than anything else, though, the oft-neglected (by the media) off-season trade orchestrated by Jazz GM Kevin O'Connor to move Hart for Brevin Knight looks even better the day after. Sure, the fans pretty much hated Hart for his play . . . but he was well liked by his team mates. Being well liked doesn't really mean anything in this league though, look at how Dee Brown was dumped after visiting all of those shitty little towns in behalf of the Jazz.

    What matters is production. Hart did not produce, but Knight has. More impressive is how Knight actually cares about his play and tries really hard on defense. He doesn't like getting beat and takes pride in his play. I remember in the nuggets game he got called for a cheap turn over, instead of complaining to the ref he just sucked it up, and stole the ball on the next play.

    Hart has a chance tonight to make the trade seem a little less lopsided . . . and this is probably his best chance to do so. As the season goes on Baron Davis is probably going to be healthy to play in the last game (April 13th, 2009) these two teams play against each other. (Utah and the Clippers only play 3 times this season) The minutes are there, unless Mike Taylor plays the spoiler again . . . which very well could happen.

    I don't have anything against Hart, given time he can be a solid NBA player, he just had a really bad season last year. I know that he doesn't suck as bad as he played last season because a few years ago I picked him up for my fantasy team back when he was first on the clippers and getting over a steal a game to go with 5 apg. (I only picked him up because I needed assists and steals and he was playing 5 games that week)

    Anyway, this is the Jason Hart revenge game . . . #2! Starting tonight at 10:30 est! Truly a battle for the ages! (Maybe he'll score 3 points this time around?)

    Game 2 Recap: Utah 101, LA Clippers 79; Game 3 Preview: Utah @ LA Clippers

    Game at a Glance:

    Things did not go so well for Jason Hart and the LA Clippers last game . . . they were really tired, having played in an overtime game the night before, and while they held it together for one solid half of basketball (tied at halftime 48 all), they got rolled in the 2nd half by a Jazz team that ended up setting a franchise record for fewest turn overs -- ever.

    Jazz Quartet -- Top Four Players of the Game:

    Andrei Kirilenko Ronnie Brewer Brevin Knight Carlos Boozer
    AK continues to play amazingly Brewer may be a MIP candidate, without actually showing a great improvmenet in MPG Knight was instrumental in the 3rd Boozer is in a class all by himself so far this season
    11 points, 9 rebounds, 4 assists, 3 blocks, 2 steals off the bench in 31 minutes of action. 16 points (6-10 shooting, 5 FTA), added 3 rebounds, 2 steals and a block in 26 mins. 8 points (4-6), 6 assists and 1 steal with zero turn overs and keyed the 3rd quarter run. Another 25 and 10 game, shot 12-18 from the field and added 3 assists in 31 minutes. 

    Digging Deeper:

    Obviously the game would have been much more different had Baron Davis and Deron Williams actually played . . . but instead we had the Cuttino Mobley (20 points, 3 rebounds) and Tim Thomas (16 points, 7 rebounds) express vs. the Ronnie Brewer (16 points, 3 rebounds, 2 steals) and Carlos Boozer (25 points, 10 rebounds, 3 assists) show. It was not too hard to figure out which side won based on those stats. Even the Jason Hart/Brevin Knight under card was very one-sided: Hart started the game but did not finish, and had a grand total of 2 points (1-4 fg), 2 assists, and 1 rebound. Knight came off the bench and had 8 points (4-6 fg), 6 assists and a steal.

    Taylor is making Hart the 3rd string guy for the 4th year in a row

    The big surprise was Mike Taylor, a rookie PG for the Clippers who ended up playing 33 minutes and finished with 13 points and 4 assists. On TV it looked like he was a giant compared to Brevin Knight, and his long arms and quick first step were a major component of his success against the Jazz on Saturday night.

    A second, smaller surprise was that in garbage time Jazz fans got to see Morris Almond, Kyrylo Fesenko and Kosta Koufos all play at the same time in an NBA game -- which may be an event that may never happen again...

    Almond looked good with his shooting stroke; Koufos looked like a rookie who was immediately attacked on offense and defense by Kaman, who scored on him and blocked his shot; Fesenko did much more in less time than Koufos, getting a steal, a rebound and a nice dunk.

    Before we pat ourselves on the back for winning another game without Deron Williams (and Jerry Sloan, Matt Harpring and Jarron Collins) let's point to the fact that this was a Clippers team that doesn't know each other, whose best players are injured and played an overtime game the night before. Also we were at home . . . where we seem to play pretty well at.

    Game 3 Preview:

    We get the other end of the home and home series tonight with a game in LA this time around. I do not know the status of Davis and Camby, aside from that they are listed as Day-to-Day. Having one of those two back, in addition to playing at home, may be just enough to push the Clippers over the top. The close proximity of these two games only compounds the problems the Clippers displayed on Saturday -- they may go absolutely nuts on defense trying to pressure the ball tonight. Heck, even their coach hinted at it:

    "We let them be too relaxed with the basketball and they made some easy plays," (LA Clippers Coach Mike Dunleavy, 2008 via ESPN.COM)

    On the flipside, Brevin Knight sites the running game as the primary reason why a) it was easy for him to play well, and b) the lack of defensive pressure. (If you run, then the other team can't dig in on defense)

    "If we can stay up-tempo it makes it a lot easier for me, and in the half-court the Coaches are doing a great job keeping me in plays that I know pretty well, and the guys are really working with me and hanging in with me." (Brevin Knight, 2008 via 1320 KFAN.COM)

    If you combine the two you pretty much spell disaster a game that should have a lot more turn overs in it than 24 total. These are the types of road games that good teams win though . . . and with Boozer averaging 25 and 10, Memo averaging a double double, Ronnie Brewer scoring 16 ppg off of 58 fg% and Andrei coming off the bench to average 14 ppg, 8 rpg, 4 apg, 3 bpg and 2 spg the Jazz should win -- regardless of where the game is being played.

    The game is tonight @ 10:30 pm EST time in LA -- for those that care. Go Jazz Go!

    Saturday, November 1, 2008

    Jason Hart revenge game . . . #1

    Jazz host the Clips tonight at the Delta Center. There's a virtual all-star team of talent that may (or may not) miss this game in the names of Deron, Baron, Marcus, Kyle, and so on. We may get to see an Epic battle between Jason Hart and Brevin Knight tonight . . . unfortunately, I'm not going to be around to watch the game live . . . so I'll have to catch it when I go home. ESPN has us at overwhelming favorites tonight, so we have that going for us.

     Please take a lot of shots Hart!  Knight looks to pass, or alternatively, turn you to stone with his gaze attack
      Jason Hart -- "scoring" machine Brevin Knight -- actually knows how to play point guard, unlike Hart.

    Wednesday, October 22, 2008

    Utah Jazz Pre-Season 2008-2009: Top Transaction of the Off-Season

    After being bounced out of the 2007-2008 Playoffs by the eventual Western Conference Champion LA Lakers the Jazz were faced with some glaring roster talent holes. The top three (for as long as this group as been together) have been:

    1. the need for a defensive bigman,
    2. a defensive wing player,
    3. and more insurance at the point.

    That last point is interesting because with Deron Williams' being drafted by the Jazz in the 2005 Draft you'd think that we'd be pretty solid there. It's actually a double edged sword because we have such a good point guard that we rely on him so much (over 37 mpg the last two seasons). If something were to happen to him (knock on wood, or well, knock on the current injury) then we would need to make up that 37 mpg that he's not going to be able to play somewhere. For those of you who are late to the party, this is exactly the current situation that the Utah Jazz are in.

    You guys needs this . . . you need what Brevin brings to the table

    And because of it, and a variety of other reasons, trading for Brevin Knight was the top transaction of the Off-Season.

    But back to those points for a bit . . .

    The need for a defensive bigman has not been taken care of, though, the Jazz have been drafting size for a bit now (Kyrylo Fesenko in 2007, Kosta Koufos and Ante Tomic in 2008 -- all three are 7'1 or better).

    The law of averages suggests that maybe one of them will develop into a better interior defender than either Carlos Boozer or Mehmet Okur sometime down the road. As it stands right now, Fesenko's blocks per foul ratio was already better than both of theirs (significantly) as a rookie.

    When was the last time you saw Booz or Memo actually discourage people driving in for layups?

    The Defensive Wing project (aka. Ronnie Brewer), on the other hand, is going into it's third year of existence and early projections look promising. So really, the only thing Kevin O'Connor (who is severely underrated as a GM) had to address urgently this off-season was shoring up point guard. [Which is fine, as he's going to be really busy next off-season]

    The Defensive Wing project, starring Ronnie Brewer

    So what did Kevin do this off-season? He turned Jason Hart (our 3rd string guy) into Brevin Knight (who might actually start for us if Deron is out for longer than 2 weeks). Hart was so bad for us last season that trading him for Miami Heat's Chris Quinn would have clearly been a great trade for the Jazz. Trading for a better player, a guy who has a career assist to turn over ratio greater than 3:1 over a decade in the league, mind you, makes this transaction as a no brainer. The absolute cherry on top is the fact that Knight makes less money than Hart, and Knight is an expiring contract.

    It's an under-rated move because it wasn't a team with a lot of cap space signing a big name guy like Elton Brand or Baron Davis . . . but as far as reward goes this was huge. Knight is a steadying force, a veteran guy who can help us win on the road (we won on the road with Fisher, we lost on the road when our veteran presence was Harpring), and a really tenacious defender. He gets a lot of steals and he's really scrappy. He can play man-to-man defense against the shorter, quicker guards. (There's currently a pretty good one right now that the press talks about)

    Lastly, with the events of this Pre-season resulting in a very key injury (that we shouldn't be too worried about), hind-sight suggests that out of all of the transactions made this off-season (and there was more than one) . . . that this was the most important one to make.

    Really, if we had to go one week without Deron and rely on Hart and Price I'd really be worried. We could conceivably go for one and a half months without Deron now that we have Knight and Price and still be leading our division.

    Trading for Brevin Knight was the top transaction of the Off-Season. Thanks Kevin O'Connor!

    Tuesday, October 21, 2008

    Sorry Haters -- Deron Williams' injury isn't going to hurt the Jazz

    Not playing Deron for the first few weeks doesn't hurt Utah one bit

    First of all, Deron Williams got hurt over the weekend. Everyone knows about this already, and it's been blogged about already. (Some good reads on the subject can be found: here, here, here, and here) I was particularly surprised to find that David James had basically blogged about exactly what I was going to write. (Props to you, DJ!)

    That said, everyone is entitled to their take on this situation -- I look at the 'glass if half full' point of view on most things, and as a result, this injury is not going to hurt the Jazz.

    The best news so far is that Deron isn't going to be out for the season. He's only going to be out somewhere between 2 weeks to a month. That's the estimate that I've read the most online, and as a result, let's say that the worst case scenario is that Deron can't play for 6 weeks. (Three times the best case scenario)

    What's going to happen in 6 weeks time (from his injury, back on October 18th)?

    During this time span the Jazz would have played around 20 games (18 regular season and 1 pre-season), and the first possible game Deron will play in would be the 1st game of December. So that means that in the worst case scenario Deron *may* miss the entire first month of the season. It's a really good thing that the NBA finals happens in June, and not November then. Furthermore, the schedule is pretty light during this time period -- you can take a look at the full schedule here, or read about how important it is for the Jazz to get off to a good start here. The types of teams we play don't change if we don't have Deron playing. For the most part, these teams are pretty crappy.

    Lastly, there are some key injuries/suspensions to other players that do make a significant difference as well. (unless, of course, you don't think that Carmelo Anthony, Baron Davis, Gilbert Arenas, Steve Nash and Manu Ginobli aren't difference makers) Now let's break down the hypothetical (and entirely unnecessary) 6 weeks without Deron Williams:

    Week 1: October 19th, 2008 - October 25th, 2008

    Number of games Date Type Opponent Location Opponent Ball Handlers
    1 Oct 23 Pre-Season Portland Home Steve Blake
    Jerryd Bayless
    Brandon Roy
    Sergio Rodriguez

    The NBA season doesn't start for the Jazz until October 29th, and there is only one Pre-season game left. This game (against the Blazers) means nothing for Deron, so there's nothing lost by having him out. So for the first week of Deron's injury the Jazz are missing nothing -- in fact, the Jazz get a chance to really figure out who can handle the ball, get the Jazz in their offense, and find out who's going to start between Ronnie Price and Brevin Knight. Other candidates for running the team include C.J. Miles, Ronnie Brewer and Andrei Kirilenko. For a whole week of only ONE game (a preseason one at that), this isn't going to be any problem for a Deron Williams-less Jazz team.

    For the record, the T-Blazers have the advantage when it comes to ball handlers in this game, but this game doesn't matter at all.

    Week 2: October 26th, 2008 - November 1st, 2008

    Number of games Date Type Opponent Location Opponent Ball Handlers
    2 Oct 29 Regular Denver Home Allen Iverson
              Chucky Atkins
              Anthony Carter
              Smush Parker
              Mateen Cleaves
               
      Nov 1 Regular LA Clippers Home Baron Davis *
              Eric Gordon
              Jason Hart

    The 2nd week is when the Jazz start their NBA season. The first game of the season is against the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets have the advantage at the point with Deron out as they have Allen Iverson, Chucky Atkins and Anthony Carter all available (as far as I know). I don't know if Smush Parker or Mateen Cleaves will make the roster, but the Nuggets are more capable at the 1 for this game than the Jazz. The good news is that this game is at home, and the Nuggets will be without Carmelo Anthony -- who will be suspended for this game. This is the home opener, and the other team is more hurt than we are (Deron vs. Melo), so I say that we start off the season with a win.

    The 2nd game of the season is against the LA Clippers. The only thing we have to know about this game is if Baron Davis will play in it or not. There are conflicting reports on the Internet (he may not miss any time, or he may miss 4-6 weeks), but if he doesn't play, this doesn't look like that bad of a week if you ask me. If he does play changes things a bit, but the Clippers are still a less talented team than the Jazz are without Deron Williams. If the game ends up being Eric Gordon and Jason Hart against Ronnie Price and Brevin Knight I think my Tivo will destroy itself.

    Oh, and by the way, most reports suggest that Deron will be shelved for two weeks. This is the end of two weeks. Not too shabby . . .

    Week 3: November 2nd, 2008 - November 8th, 2008

    Number of games Date Type Opponent Location Opponent Ball Handlers
    3 Nov 3 Regular LA Clippers Road Baron Davis *
              Eric Gordon
              Jason Hart
               
      Nov 5 Regular Portland Home Steve Blake
              Jerryd Bayless
              Brandon Roy
              Sergio Rodriguez
               
      Nov 7 Regular Oklahoma City Home Earl Watson
              Russell Westbrook
              John Lucas III

    This is when things start to get a little bit more challenging. There are three games on tap, a road game against the LA Clippers, then home games against Portland and the "we're not even settled in yet" Oklahoma City Thunder. There is nothing too special about any of these games save for the fact that Baron should be healed by now, if he wasn't for the previous game. Over all I'd take the Jazz to win any of these three games (if not all three) as they are the most talented team (hype be damned!) on each night this week. I think the Jazz will be up to play against Portland, and defend their home court against a team that owned us last season. Oklahoma's ball handler's don't scare anyone.

    So far we've only played 1 playoff team -- and that's Denver without Carmelo Anthony. I'm sure if Deron is out three weeks that we're not going to be really hurting without him.

    Week 4: November 9th, 2008 - November 15th, 2008

    Number of games Date Type Opponent Location Opponent Ball Handlers
    5 Nov 9 East Road Trip New York Road Stephon Marbury
              Chris Duhon
              Nate Robinson
              Jamal Crawford
               
      Nov 11 East Road Trip Philadelphia Road Andre Miller
              Louis Williams
              Royal Ivey
               
      Nov 12 East Road Trip Washington Road Gilbert Arenas *
              Dee Brown
              DeShawn Stevenson
              Juan Dixon
               
      Nov 14 East Road Trip Charlotte Road Raymond Felton
              D.J. Augustin
               
      Nov 15 East Road Trip Cleveland Road Mo Williams
              Daniel Gibson
              LeBron James
              Delonte West
              Eric Snow

    If Week 3 was a bit more challenging, then Week 4 is a killer. This is one of our numerous Eastern Conference Road Trips. This trip is going to be *only* 5 games long, and all takes place within a week. Furthermore, this team features two sets of back-to-backs, three 3 games in 4 nights deals, and ends up being 5 games in 7 nights. How ridiculous! If Deron isn't healthy by Week 4 I just say keep in him Utah. The last thing we need is for him to test out his body against this Eastern Conference Circus. For the record, Gilbert Arenas may not play in this game, the Bobcats suck, and the Knicks do as well. There is no way that we're winning in Cleveland when it's the 2nd night of a back-to-back and the 5th game in 7 nights though.

    That said, if Deron is healthy, we can win quite a few of these road games . . . if not, this is the only bad week if he's out for 6 weeks.

    Week 5: November 16th, 2008 - November 22nd, 2008

    Number of games Date Type Opponent Location Opponent Ball Handlers
    4 Nov 17 Regular Phoenix Home Steve Nash *
              Leandro Barbosa
              Goran Dragic
              Grant Hill
               
      Nov 19 Regular Milwaukee Home Luke Ridnour
              Charlie Bell
              Tyronn Lue
              Damon Jones
             
      Nov 21 Regular San Antonio Road Tony Parker
              Jacque Vaughn
              George Hill
               
      Nov 22 Regular Memphis Road Mike Conley
              Javaris Crittenton
              Kyle Lowry

    Week 5 is much better than Week 4, as there are only 4 games to play. The first pair of games are at home, and the last two are on the road. The first game is against the Phoenix Suns, though Nash may be injured for this game as well. (what luck! No Carmelo, possibly no Baron, maybe no Gilbert, and now maybe no Nash!) It's still going to be tough to beat the Suns without Deron though. Thankfully the next game is against Milwaukee -- and their point guards are worse than ours are. (How many times a season are our ball handlers going to be better than the other teams' when Deron is injured?) The first road game is in San Antonio (Manu is injured as well), but I still expect a loss, as it's in San Antonio. The last game of week 5 is against Memphis -- which isn't a very experienced team when it comes to handling the rock either.

    I'd be happy with a 2-2 split this week -- especially after the horrible Week 4 East Road Trip.

    Week 6: November 23rd, 2008 - November 29th, 2008.

    Number of games Date Type Opponent Location Opponent Ball Handlers
    4 Nov 24 Home stand Chicago Home Kirk Hinrich
              Ben Gordon
              Derrick Rose
              Larry Hughes
               
      Nov 26 Home stand Memphis Home Mike Conley
              Javaris Crittenton
              Kyle Lowry
             
      Nov 28 Home stand Sacramento Home Beno Udrih
              Bobby Jackson
               
      Nov 29 Home stand New Jersey Home Devin Harris
              Eddie Gill

    This is the last week of my hypothetical worst case scenario . . . we all know that Deron Williams isn't going to be sidelined for the first 18 games of the season with an ankle injury. If he was, though, this last week could finish on a very high note on this four game home stand. All four of these clubs stink, and while they appear to have an advantage at PG with Deron out I know that we are still more talented then all of them. The first game is against the Bulls, and you know that the Jazz will be fired up for that, as it's at home (and you know, the revenge factor). The home game at Memphis could very well be an AK-47 5x5 night. Sacramento has a lot of shooters, but they don't have any defenders. New Jersey is crap.

    I have the Jazz going 13-5 over the first 18 games of the season without Deron Williams. I have the Jazz maybe winning 3 more games if they had him. The schedule and injuries are in our favor -- and any rest for Deron is fine with me. So yeah . . . Deron Williams' injury isn't going to hurt the Jazz. If anything, all of this time without relying on him is going to make them better.

    And really . . . he's not going to be out for 6 weeks, probably 2 or 3 if there is a set back. (You know, a grand total of 5 games)

    Wednesday, October 15, 2008

    Things to look for this season: Brevin Knight

    Last season at this point in time I was cautiously optimistic about the Jason Hart signing. I was peeved that the Jazz chased away Dee Brown, and the primary reason seemed to be that the Jazz needed a veteran point guard to fill in the gap left by Derek Fisher's exodus from Utah to go to New York Los Angeles to be closer to where his daughter would continue to get treatment for her cancer. (btw, her specialist is still in New York, not LA guys)

    I did not know much about Jason Hart, but he was a guy I picked up for my fantasy team a few seasons ago when he was money for 5 assists per game and at least 1 steal (late in the fantasy season you search out for guys who play on teams that have 4 games in a week that can help you win your head to head). Last season, though, my cautious optimism was quickly replaced with disgust as Hart would try to Will Smith is way through games, and never pass the ball. (He got a grand total of 86 assists last season for the Jazz, 1.5 per game -- and he's a point guard. Matt Harpring got 82 last season, and he isn't exactly known for his play making ability as a stone-handed forward.)

    Alas, Hart is no longer on our team, as he was traded for Brevin Knight this off-season. I haven't been a huge Brevin Knight fan in the past because:

    • he is really small (5'10 height),
    • he can't stay healthy over a season (been in the league since 1997-1998, and has played in the following number of games each season:
      • 80 {rookie season}, 39, 65, 53, 53, 55, 56, 66, 69, 45 and 74 games last year
      • That averages out to 59.5 games played per season
    • and Brevin possesses a truly epic shooting range disability:
      • career 14.2 3pt %,
      • 0 for 6 last season,
      • has made only 16 in his 10 year career,
      • never made more than 3 in a season before
      • for a point of reference, Gordan Giricek only played in 22 games for us last season, and he made 12 in our uniform in 2007-2008 alone.
    Clearly not a three point shot
      Photographed by Melissa Majchrzak for NBAE/Getty Images

    That said, the point guard spot is much better with Knight at the wheel than with Hart. Trading away a 3rd string guy for a possible 2nd string guy who makes less money is hardly a bad thing -- so kudos to Kevin O'Connor for that move. Additionally, Knight is less likely to take shots that he's not going to make -- unlike Hart who used to believe that he could make every shot he took. (2007-2008 statistics: Hart 32.2 fg%, Knight 40.4 fg% . . . ugh, that's not much better though) Anyway, what three things should we, as fans, look out for this season from Brevin Knight?

    • Be a pure point guard: Brevin, due to a number of factors (size, inability to get easy shots for himself) has to be a pass first point guard. This suits Jerry Sloan fine as there are plenty of guys who can score on our team. He's a professional and he actually plays defense. Being a pure point is going to stabilize the 2nd (or 3rd) units as he is a 10 year vet, and the oldest guy on the team (at the ripe old age of 32). He's been playing against our offense for 10 seasons, and none of the plays have changed, so he comes into training camp with more experience than his competition (Ronnie Price -- who actually played here last season) does. Additionally, as fun as Price is to have on the floor, he's really an under sized 2, while Knight is an under sized 1. Price has better scoring ability, but Knight is a point guard's point guard. Which gives him the inside track to play the 8-10 mpg that Deron isn't going to in the playoffs.
    • More playing time at PG than Ronnie Price: That doesn't mean that Price isn't going to get playing time this season -- he may very well beat out Knight as the season goes on -- but over all Knight is going to get more playing time at the PG than Price will. This is partly because Jerry Sloan has been experimenting with having Knight and Price on the floor at the same time (with Brevin handling the ball), going for a very fast, tenacious back court that he's had to contest with in previous seasons with varying results (i.e. a Chris Paul, Jannero Pargo style line up). I really don't know how often we'll see that backcourt, but it would give the Jazz a different look than in previous years.
    • Don't expect 5+ apg and 1.5+ spg this season: Knight has career averages of 6.6 apg and 1.8 spg. Those are very nice numbers to have . . . though those numbers are predicated on playing over 20 minutes per game. Last season he had a relatively healthy season (he played in his 2nd most games in his career) and gave the LA Clippers 4.6 ppg, 4.4 apg 1.9 rpg, and 1.4 spg. He also played 22.6 mpg last season. There are only 48 minutes per game at the point. Deron Williams can be penciled in to play anything from 35-42 on a given night. The last two seasons Deron has played 36.9 and 37.3 mpg. I think with the dearth of point guards this season Jerry will attempt to regulate his star's minutes, and scale that back to around 36 mpg early on; though I wouldn't be surprised to see him average 38 for the season. That leaves about 10 minutes to divided between Knight and Price. This problem is a little easier as Knight isn't a lock to play in 80 games in any given season, but one of those two guys looks to pile up a lot of DNP-CDs this season. 10 minutes makes it very hard to really get a lot of stats. Knight is a good assists and steals guy -- but how stat-happy will he be in playing less than half of the minutes that he's averaged over his decade long career?

    That may be something to look out for as the season goes on. He's not going to make a stink according to his off-season interviews around the time of his trade, so that's good. And when it comes down to it, I'm just happy that the Jazz got rid of Jason Hart . . . it's even better that we got Knight out of the deal. (even if he just plays 3rd string) This season is going to be special for Brevin, because it's his first on a contender, and that usually brings out the best from long suffering veterans. (He played for the late 90's cavs, the bobcats and the clippers among other teams in his career! That's harsh!)